ONN can now release its official projection of the October 2022 WM Election. Last time around, in July, ONN correctly predicted that Brunholl would assume the top job, but who will it be this time?
Current Projection: Lean Patec
ONN projects that this election could go either way, although Patec has a slight numerical advantage. ONN has calculated this result using previous election data, assumed manifesto popularity and the opinion of our election analysts.
The current prediction, assuming turnout is between 8-15 votes, stands at:
Patec receives between 4-7 votes
FRS receives between 3-4 votes
Abstention receives 1-2 votes
Average Projection:
Patec: 5
FRS: 3
Abstain: 1
This means that while Patec is ahead in terms of the numerical advantage, FRS still has a high chance of victory.
Also, the chance of a draw in this race is considerably high, with the possibility of a 4:4, 5:5 or 6:6 possible. Abstentions make the likelihood of a draw even more likely.
This article will be updated regularly as results come in and the projection shifts.