ONN can now officially project that Brunholl will most likely be elected WM, after Brunholl's lead over Patec extended to 2 votes.
The ONN projection suggests that Brunholl will receive between 4-5 votes, Patec 2-3 and Maricoen 1-2. This means that turnout will lay between 7 and 10, a significant decrease on June's turnout of 13 votes.
This indicates that Brunholl will receive between 50% and 57% of the vote, meaning that ONN is not ruling out the possibility of a Patec victory in the event of a sudden shift of votes.
Political Editor of ONN, Sue Kuenssberg, stated that the projection indicates that while the most likely outcome is a Brunholl victory, on the lower end of the projection ONN cannot say for certain that Patec could not pull through.
However, Mrs Kuenssberg stated that there was absolutely 'no way back' for Maricoen, after a collapse in the early momentum received in the polls. No scenario ONN has predicted results in a Maricoen victory, with a serious reversal of fate required to come back at this stage.
With just a few hours left in the polls, the delegation from Brunholl seems more and more certain of victory. This certainty was boosted earlier today when Brunholl received Meercovo's vote, extending the lead over Patec to 2 votes. While this isn't as huge a margin as in previous elections, with such little momentum in the polls it will be difficult to overcome for Patec.
However, the turnout at the polls has been disappointing. The previous election saw almost double the turnout, at 13 votes, to the current 7. This has left some questioning if the new WM will have an actual mandate, as such as small proportion of the electorate will have voted for them.
With Federal republic of Socialsts pulling in 71% of the vote in March, and Meercovo receiving 62% of the vote in June, it seems that a lack of enthusiasm for any candidate is what this election will be remembered for.
While ONN currently projects that Brunholl will manage to pull through, with a matter of hours left we will aim to give you the latest updates as to how the other candidates perform and if there are any significant vote shifts.
As things stand, the 4 votes for Brunholl, 2 for Patec and 1 for Maricoen is close to the ONN projection, leaving Brunholl on 57%, Patec on 29% and Maricoen on 14%. This shows that having three candidates effectively splits the opposition to the main candidate 2/3 to 1/3.
Looking at a scenario where the WM is going to be elected probably 57% to 43% is the closest poll in TOO since the Currency Name Poll a few months ago, and the least an official has ever been elected by when abstentions are excluded.
Kommentare